GOP Recruitment Woes
Actions speak louder than words, and even poorly produced RNC web videos. For all the rhetoric you hear from the other side about a party in dissaray, the fact remains that in state after state, Democrats are loading up the ballots while the GOP can't find Republicans to fill even the most coveted and supposedly contested of seats. In Illinois, Democrats will field candidates for each and every congressional seat, including districts where two top-tier candidates are running in a contested primary. In Texas, Democrats are running for every seat from Governor to Railroad Commissioner, and 31 of 32 congressional districts will have a Democrat on the stump.
Meanwhile, Senator Hillary Clinton finds her name in nearly every piece of direct mail and web ad the GOP produces, yet they can't find anyone to run against her. And it's a problem mirrored in state after state across the country. It's obviously not a good time to be a Republican. From a DSCC release:
WVA: Despite Pleas from NRSC, Capito Said NO to WV Senate Bid. This week, Congresswoman Shelley Moore Capito announced she will not challenge Sen. Robert Byrd next year, “dealing a major blow” to Republican recruitment efforts in West Virginia. Political analyst Larry Sabato said after Capito’s announcement, “The Republicans do not have another good option in West Virginia.” [Roll Call, 10/3/05; Charleston Gazette, 10/4/05]- Capito Was Just the First of Many to Say They Wouldn’t Challenge Byrd. In October Secretary of State Betty Ireland announced that she would not challenge Senator Byrd in 2006. In November, former University of West Virginia basketball coach, Gale Catlett, declined to enter the race. Finally, just two days ago, West Virginia Republican Party Chairman, Robin Capehart, declined to challenge Senator Byrd. [Associated Press, 10/27/05; Associated Press, 11/11/05; Register-Herald, 12/6/05]
ND: Despite Personal Visit from Rove, Hoeven Said NO to Conrad Challenge. Last week, Governor John Hoeven announced he will not challenge Kent Conrad in 2006, “depriving Republicans of someone they considered their strongest candidate against the Democratic incumbent.” Just days earlier, Karl Rove visited North Dakota and met with Hoeven, and the Washington Times reported, “The White House has promised to give Mr. Hoeven its fullest support if he runs.” [AP, 9/30/05; Washington Times, 9/29/05]
VT: Despite Urging from Dole and White House, Vermont Governor Said NO to Senate Bid. In April, Senator Jim Jeffords announced that he would not be running for re-election. Immediately, Governor Jim Douglas was widely labeled as the strongest potential Republican candidate for the Senate seat, with one local paper noting that Douglas “is expected to face intense pressure from Republicans in Washington to enter the Senate race.” Douglas spoke to NRSC Chair Sen. Elizabeth Dole and to at least one White House official before announcing that he would not run for the Senate. [NPR, 4/20/05; AP, 4/20/05, 4/29/05; Burlington Free Press, 4/21/05]
MI: Despite Pleas From Bush, Michigan Rep. Miller Said NO to Senate Bid. Last December, President Bush publicly urged Congresswoman Candice Miller, telling her Chief of Staff, “You need to tell her she needs to run for the Senate,” before calling the Congresswoman personally. Described as “the party's top choice,” Miller announced in January that she would not run for Senate. As one Detroit columnist noted, “Top Republicans with safe jobs looked at this, and shook their heads. No, thank you.” [Detroit News, 12/9/04; AP, 1/11/05; Detroit Metro Times, Lessenberry column, 8/24/05]
FL: Despite Repeated Attempts, At Least Four Recruited Candidates Have Said NO to Florida Senate Bid. Since last November, Florida Republicans have been urged unsuccessfully to enter the 2006 Senate race, including Governor Jeb Bush. Even after Katherine Harris announced her candidacy for the seat, the White House and NRSC continued to speak to Republicans about getting into the race, with a huge focus on Florida House Speaker Allan Bense and former Congressman Joe Scarborough, both of whom subsequently decided not to enter the Senate race. [Jupiter Courier, 11/24/04; Gainesville Sun, 8/4/05; Pensacola News Journal, 8/17/05, 8/21/05]
WA: Despite Visit from Dole, Rossi Said NO to Washington Senate Bid. Labeled “Republicans' brightest star,” 2004 candidate for Governor Dino Rossi announced in July that he would not challenge Senator Maria Cantwell in 2006. The AP reported that Rossi’s decision process froze the field in place until he told the salivating national party that he was declining their call to duty. Polls had showed Rossi as the strongest Republican candidate. Rossi’s announcement came just one week after Sen. Elizabeth Dole was in Washington, personally urging Rossi to enter the race. [AP, 7/21/05; Seattle Post-Intelligencer, 7/26/05]
NE: Despite National Pleas, List of Prominent Republicans Saying NO to Nelson Challenge Keeps Growing. Republicans have failed to recruit a top-tier challenger for Senator Ben Nelson in Nebraska. When pressed to change his decision to run for reelection and instead challenge Nelson, Governor Dave Heineman said “that on a scale of zero to 100 his interest in the Senate race is ‘minus-1000 and dropping.’” Heineman joined former Governor and Agriculture Secretary Mike Johanns, Rep. Tom Osborne, and NE Attorney General Jon Bruning as prominent Nebraska Republicans who have declined to challenge Nelson. Most recently, when the White House asked former Senator Dave Karnes to run for his old job, he too said no. [Roll Call, 5/10/05; Roll Call, 3/9/05; Omaha World-Herald, 8/2/05]
NY: Giuliani and Pataki Both Refused to Challenge Clinton. In New York, Republicans failed to draw a top-tier challenger to Sen. Hillary Clinton when Governor George Pataki and former New York City Mayor Rudi Giuliani both declined to run for the Senate. [AP, 4/18/05; Rochester Democrat and Chronicle, 8/3/05]
WI: Despite Calls from State GOP Chair, Potential Wisconsin Candidate Said NO to Kohl Challenge. This week, it was reported that Waukesha County Executive Dan Finley will not run for Senate in Wisconsin against Sen. Herb Kohl. Apparently, the State Republican Party had already started polling, in conjunction with Finley, for an upcoming Senate bid, but, instead, Finley chose to take a job at the Milwaukee Public Museum. Finley’s announcement reportedly “blindsided Republican heavyweights.” [Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Spivak & Bice column, 10/4/05]
EVEN REPUBLICANS ADMIT NRSC RECRUITING IS WEAK. “Nationally, overall, their recruiting has not been as strong as it was in 2002 and 2004…they have missed a lot of chances in recruitment,” Republican pollster David Johnson said of the NRSC. [The Hill, 10/4/05]
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