Iraq

Did General Petraeus Report the Right Numbers?

Posted by Stephanie Taylor on September 25, 2007 at 03:52 PM

Two weeks ago, General David Petraeus testified before Congress that sectarian violence in Iraq is decreasing. Shortly afterwards, George Bush cited this "success" when he announced a plan to keep the troop levels high in Iraq until at least next summer.

Now the Washington Post has published new evidence challenging the way that the U.S. military is analyzing and tallying each civilian death in Iraq.

On Sept. 1, the bullet-riddled bodies of four Iraqi men were found on a Baghdad street. Two days later, a single dead man, with one bullet in his head, was found on a different street. According to the U.S. military in Iraq, the solitary man was a victim of sectarian violence. The first four were not.

According to the article, a team of analysts working on computers judges whether or not civilians deaths are caused by sectarian violence based on factors like neighborhood and type of death.

The four Shiite men, for instance, were judged to be killed by "criminal" violence, not sectarian violence--since sectarian violence is identified as "a single shot to the head," not a spray of gunfire.

The Bush administration has based its claims of progress on these types of data. But the article goes on to explain just why the data may be deeply flawed. It's worth a read.

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