Steve Wilson's Blog
About the Author
To help build and influence the party to which I have always considered myself a member; and to throw out some of my own solutions and proposals as trial balloons, just so that I can claim credit when they are adopted generations from now. Or sooner if I can help it.

show 2123 delegates for Obama, 2118 needed to win, but no check mark? McCain has a check mark. The other networks still show Obama with less than 2118.
Every special election with long-time Republican seats in the House who have used Jeremia Wright to defeat the Dem has lost. This cycle hasn't even started and we've picked up three seats.
As I predicted, the predominant media spin goes like this:
Why can't Obama close the deal? He spent all this money and he still loses.

Have you ever run against Hillary? Was Bill not a formidable politician? Has Hillary received less than 55% of the female vote in any contest so far? Women have always voted in significantly higher numbers in Democratic primaries than men. Give me a break. The real story of this primary election is how in the world could a relatively unknown black candidate be so competitive. How could anyone possibly out raise the Clinton money machine?

Clinton's 10 point victory in PA tonight keeps her solidly in the race. She is likely to pick up 10-13 delegates.

NC delegate projections...

http://electioninspection.wordpress.com/2008/04/18/detailed-delegate-projection-north-carolina/

The race appears to be closer in Indiana.

Will either candidate close the deal? NO. Supers will decide the race.

for Hillary
It seems that the latest spin from the media is (1) Obama is a prohibitive frontrunner (deserving of the harshest treatment, finally}, and (2) if he is soooo gooood and has raised and spent all of this record amounts of money, why can't he put her away?????

The answer is simple. These are the best two candidates we have pitted against each other in the history of Democratic politics. LBJ v JFK included.

Keith asked her what a president could really do. She said: (1) investigate oil company price fixing; (2) agreed with McCain about suspending the federal gas tax; (3) release amounts from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve; (4) give a speech that would convince OPEC we are serious about alternative fuels. (1) is pure bs. Oil companies don't need to drive the price up. China's increased demand and no new supplies are a reality. Mexico and Russia have already declared that their production is falling.  (2) Federal gasoline tax is 18 cents per gallon. Prices have gone up that much in the last two months. (3) Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases ROFLMAO. How many months supply do you think this reserve has? (4) Give a speech about how serious we are about alternatives? She never mentioned the word "conservation" in her entire response. IF Americans don't get serious about reducing their personal consumption of petroleum, we are screwed. We do not need another president calling for "painless" solutions. My first post ever on this blog was entitled "Gasoline does not cost enough" http://www.democrats.org/page/community/blog/stevewilson/2007/07?page=2

I stand by my first post.

She "retracted" her expansive debate statements about Iran and the military umbrella and now has qualified it to "nuclear" attacks by Iran.

She defended using Osama Bin Laden in her recent campaign ad. She thinks that Scaife has had a deathbed conversion and is no longer a part of the "vast right wing conspiracy". This last question by Keith was especially uncomfortable for her as she broke out into several "gaggles".

Question: How does Matt Drudge have access to Clinton's "internal" polls?

http://www.drudgereport.com/

Clinton's "Umbrella of Deterrence" for Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the UAE

from ABC News Senior National Correspondent Jake Tapper April 17, 2008 6:23 PM

http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalpunch/2008/04/clintons-umbrel.html

Russert also brought it up on Meet the Press today

Total delegates: 161
Delegates allocated based on statewide vote: 58
Delegates allocated based on CD vote:        103

Predicted delegates if Clinton wins 58%-42% of PA vote

Clinton   87
Obama   74

http://www.mydd.com/story/2008/3/12/17239/2856

Stephen had Clinton, Edwards, and Obama all on his show tonight. It was a hoot.
over the entire Middle East against Iran?
Hillary declared that our military security "umbrella" extends to the entire Middle East (excluding Iran) of course. This is a huge foreign policy blunder.
Hillary stated several times in tonights debate that she would inflict "massive retaliatiion" if Iran attacked countries in the middle east. Not just Israel, but Saudi, Qatar, Kuwait, etc?

Has she flipped her lid?
Michael Tiffany 101679
Percy H Florez 72326
LITTLE DINE&GRANDPA DINE'WARRIOR 70224
FreedomofSpeech 57157
Ron McBride 55549
annie b 52738
Josh (dnc internet director) 49044
Michael Link (dnc 45224
shopman 42280
Stephanie Taylor (dnc) 39204
Jimmy Smith 35736
Liz 35461
Asher 34555
Sacha 32605
Letitrip 32204
vidya 31065
MT 29508

pee-wee 26677

Anne K 24255
Arius 23255
D. Tree 22289
Bill Dickson 22748
Steve Wilson 22329

On a recent post, I disputed claims that Clinton is ahead at this point in the race.

 I posted my source. It has a complete breakdown by state that can be checked to Secretary of State records in each state. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/democratic_vote_count.html

I was told

 "SW, it is posted on this blog on a DAILY basis if not more, the links to the total votes ! This is not a mystery, Clinton LEADS in popular vote totals WITH MI and Fla."

I read this blog daily and don't remember a source showing Clinton ahead in popular vote cast so far, whether or not FL and MI are included.

Pennsylvania Democratic Primary
Tuesday, April 22 | Delegates at Stake: 188

Insider Advantage 04/02 - 04/02 659 LV 45 42 Clinton +3.0
Morning Call 03/27 - 04/02 406 LV 49 38 Clinton +11.0
PPP (D) 03/31 - 04/01 1224 LV 43 45 Obama +2.0
Rasmussen 03/31 - 03/31 730 LV 47 42 Clinton +5.0


North Carolina Democratic Primary
Tuesday, May 6 | Delegates at Stake: 134

Rasmussen 04/03 - 04/03 704 LV 56 33 Obama +23.0
PPP (D) 03/29 - 03/30 1100 LV 54 36 Obama +18.0
InsiderAdvantage 03/26 - 03/26 406 LV 49 34 Obama +15.0
SurveyUSA 03/08 - 03/10 713 LV 49 41 Obama +8.0

Indiana Democratic Primary
Tuesday, May 6 | Delegates at Stake: 72

Research 2000 03/31 - 04/02 400 LV 49 46 Clinton +3.0
SurveyUSA 03/29 - 03/31 530 LV 52 43 Clinton +9.0


SOURCE: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/
Who are they?

????????
101,679 points 1st place

Percy H Florez
72,326 points 2nd place

LITTLE DINE&GRANDPA DINE'WARRIOR FOR RECALL ON COLUMBUS DAY

67,051 points 3rd place

FreedomofSpeech
56,747 points 4th place

Ron McBride
55,549 points 5th place

annie b
52,738 points 6th place

????????
49,040 points 7th place


Michael Link
45,224 points 8th place

Shopman
41,834 points 9th place

????????
??,??? points 10th place
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