Posts with the tag mortgages
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Barack it has absolutely nothing to do with saving our neighbors house that is burning because it might be a threat to our own but everything to do with not risking life and limb to save this same house that is already entirely destroyed by termites. The American people are not being vindictive by wanting to hold back $700 billion dollars from Wall Street but are being prudent by not wanting to waste what may be the last substantial amount of taxpayer dollars before the final decent into the abyss of a global income crisis.

We have one last chance at 'jump starting' this economy and that can only be done from below where 95% of lower to middle income citizens consume by purchasing products and services that are produced by the global economy. Nothing will be accomplished by throwing more and more money at Wall Street in an attempt to get the credit markets lending again because once the investment community became aware of the extent of consumer and business leverage they lost a certain amount of confidence in all facets of the U.S. economy. Both foreign and domestic credit markets are not freezing up but what is actually occurring is a natural reaction to the discovery that U.S. businesses and consumers have overextended themselves in an un-concerted attempt at maintaining a level of economic expansion (lifestyle or revenue stream) that is unsustainable given the continuing drop in consumption spending by consumers as a result of their declining incomes.

Now that both businesses and consumers are facing the reality of the real market economic forces that act to stabilize out of balance conditions, all facets of the economy are crying for immediate relief even those such as the financial institutions that will just have to write off or write down most of the over valued credit assets that their customers both businesses and citizens are unable to continue to carry.

Until the 95% of low to middle income U.S. citizens are afforded a substantial increase in income (equated to all the lost income never received from years of productivity gains) the global economy will continue to tank. No other option remains - either use the $700 billion (more required) to 'jump start' this dying income starved economy or watch it decline to the point of no return.

Also, we shouldn't believe everything pandered by the sensationalist media parrots especially when it regards Economics. Investors moved back into the markets today mainly to acquire 'dirt cheap' bargain stocks and investment instruments not simply because they even remotely expect help in the form of a bailout from the U.S. Congress or that if it did transpire would have any effect on confidence anyway. Therefore, what all of us should attempt to do is maintain a link to reality based upon the facts of each day and not take credence in any neoclassical Economic ideology predictions that are rooted in policies that have brought us to this calamitous point in time.

Moving our economy back to a higher level of consumption spending that is not based upon consumers who are over leveraged and businesses that are equally overleveraged because their income is being drained off by greedy executives and board members must be the goal for our nation. Draining more income from the 95% of low to middle income citizen taxpayers in order to invest in worthless debt related assets that would be better purged from our economic system entirely does not lead to a sustainable economic system nor does it help in resolving our current chronic income crisis - it only makes matters worse. We need to invest in America not throw what may be our last remaining dollars that haven't yet been devalued (given time) to the point of being worthless up into the wind, only to be blown across a fast encroaching economic desert.

We have the power to thoughtfully address the income crisis which is the root cause of our economic calamity but only if we remain open-minded to all approaches that are centered upon getting substantial income in the hands of average Americans who will faithfully spend (representing 2/3's of GDP) it on products and services. Not only is it the economically sensible thing to do but the morally right thing to do.

http://structuralEconIssues.blogspot.com/
Why should the $700 BILLION go directly to the banks?

If the mortgages are paid, the derivatives should have their full value, if not; some folks should go to jail.

A Harvard study suggests that 50% of personal bankruptcies are related to hospital bills and in many of these cases, the person had health insurance, but lost the insurance in the course of the disease or injury.

Nearly half of all Americans who file for bankruptcy do so because of medical expenses, according to a new study released jointly by researchers at Harvard Law School and Harvard Medical School * * * "Good educations, decent jobs, and health insurance were no guarantee that a person wouldn't be wiped out by an illness or accident. We believe the current policy debates are overlooking a critical problem: A broken health care finance system is bankrupting middle class America."

"Our study is fairly shocking," explained Steffie Woolhandler, associate professor of medicine at Harvard Medical School, in an interview with the Chicago Tribune. "We found that, too often, private health insurance is an umbrella that melts in the rain."

http://www.law.harvard.edu/news/2005/02/03_bankruptcy.php

On the other hand, the investment banks engaged in risky behavior such as 30 to 1 financial leverage and poorly understood derivative transactions. It was the leverage and derivatives that amplified the foreclosure crisis into a worldwide economic crisis.

Congressional candidate Alan Grayson(D), a Harvard educated attorney, wrote in an e-mail

Here is more context. $700 billion is over $2000 for every man, woman and child in America. For a family of seven, like mine, it's over $15,000. Someone just took $15,000 from me and my family, and gave it to anonymous bondholders whom I've never met, who have done nothing for me, to whom I owe nothing and -- right now -- I really don't like.

More context: you could take one percent of that amount -- one percent! -- and pay off the delinquency on every home mortgage in arrears in America. And keep people from losing their homes.


The financial system needs to be rescued, but we can save real people and not just corporations if we act wisely.

As the AARP lobbying group put it, "Divided We Fail."

Jim Callahan
Orlando, FL
All the below essays may be read at-

http://structuraleconissues.blogspot.com/

o Use $700 Billion to Stimulate Real Economy
o Fast Bailout of Wall Street â€" No Help for Main Street
o Stand Up Citizens - It is Time to Be Counted
o Death of the Great Consumption Engine
o Stepping from the Past into the Future
o Our Nation’s Dying Debt Engine
o $700 Billion to Feed the Supply Side Monster
o $700 Billion Bailout â€" Reverse Robin Hood Effect
o Financial Pollutants, Government Bailout, and HOLC
o Great Depression History Propaganda Spread by Elite
o Income Drained From Below Covers Losses of Elite
o Federal Toxic Debt Clearinghouse â€" Cleansing Debt from Books
o U.S. Treasury Open To Loot â€" An Economy Spiraling Down
o AIG Raids U.S. Treasury â€" Lobbyists Work Pays Off
o Root Causes of Our Current Income Crisis
o Acquiring a Rational Economy
o Workers Demand Democracy Not Machiavellian Evil
o Income Crisis - Accelerating For Impact into Economy
o They Sacrifice the Dreams of a Nation
o Building a Foundation of Understanding
o Completely Nationalize Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae
o Deflationary Stage of Income Crisis Reached
o The Illusion of Justice

I just posted a clip Colbert Report regarding the Wall Street Meltdown on http://iflizwerequeen.com

CNBC's Closing Bell Anchor Maria Bartiromo is the guest.  It is not really as funny as it is revealing of the truth.  Colbert on AIG bailout:  "We are about to give an $85 billion reward to a company because managed their business poorly?"

Ms. Bartiromo's comment "a lot of people took out mortgages that they could not afford". . .  is a comment that sends me to the moon!--as if Main Street Americans are to blame for what the financial shell game sharks on Wall Street have done!  As for "bad" mortgages accounting for the Wall Street meltdown, someone needs to remind Ms. Bartiromo that many of these defaults are due to the fact that Americans have lost their jobs--not because they are some deadbeats who didn't deserve, or could not afford the loan in the first place.  Many of these "deadbeats" had to borrow against the equity in their homes to pay horrendous medical bills that either their health insurance company didn't pay and/or because they could not afford health insurance in the first place.  Others have had to borrow against the equity of their homes to cover expenses while they look for a job to replace the one they had that got shipped overseas via another trade agreement.

To listen to some of the snake oil jerks on Wall Street, you would think that this entire financial meltdown was caused because loans were made to deadbeat Americans who didn't deserve them.  This is a lie and misrepresentation of the truth of what has happened.  Futhermore, it is an insult to the American people.

Frankly, you can count me as an American who does not want to give Wall Street a stinking nickel. 

Here are the cold hard facts.

If you borrow $100K to purchase a home and and finance the loan for 30 years at 10% Interest
you monthly payment will be:

$877.58

If you make those payments for 30 years that is 360 payments.

You will have paid:

$315,720

for that 100K home.

Those who loaned you the money will have made a 215% profit during that time.

That does not include the money you may have paid for "points" or any of the other 101 additional costs that may be associated with a mortgage.

That money will have also been put to work and will have made the people you gave it to additional money.

The 215% profit also does not include the profit that was made by the lender with your monthly payments.

At the end of the 30 years the lender will have made a tremendous profit with "your money" and you will have a house which you may or may not even be able to sell.

Some deal!!!!!!!!!!!
One of the best articles to show your friends about John McCain is about how his economic policy was shaped by lobbyist Phil Gramm:
Republican presidential candidate Sen. John McCain’s national campaign general co-chair was being paid by a Swiss bank to lobby Congress about the U.S. mortgage crisis at the same time he was advising McCain about his economic policy, federal records show.


I guess McCain has to ask someone for help, since he admitted "I never really understood economics," but Gramm was responsible for helping to kill the 2007 "Helping Families Save Their Homes in Bankruptcy Act."   Read More »
MEDIAN HOME PRICE FALLS 13.3% SINCE LAST YEAR
MORE HOMES MORTGAGES UNDERWATER (NEGATIVE EQUITY) AS PRICES DECLINE
The Commerce Department reported Thursday that sales of new homes dropped by 8.5 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 526,000 units, the slowest sales pace since October 1991.

The median price of a home sold in March dropped by 13.3 percent compared to March 2007, the biggest year-over-year price decline since a 14.6 percent plunge in July 1970.

http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080424/economy.html

After optimism around moon landing in 1969 there was a recession under President Nixon. This is almost as bad as that and worse than the mid-1970s real estate collapse.

Jim Callahan
Orlando, FL
Congressional Quarterly's CQ blog reports that
Both Dodd and Financial Services Chairman Barney Frank , D-Mass., plan hearings on proposals to allow the FHA to back refinanced mortgages of home owners who currently owe more than their property is worth if lenders agree to reduce the principal and write new terms that the borrower can meet.

First posted April 4, 2008 11:04 a.m.

http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docid=news-000002697651

This is in sharp contrast to "do-nothing" McCain.

Business Week provides some details on the proposal.
Short version (long version in extended Post).

Underwater homes would be reappraised at current market values. Under Frank's plan, homeowners would be issued new mortgages for 90% of the new value of the home, and the government would get a 5% stake to compensate for the risks it is taking. The holder of the old loanâ€"whether it is a bank or an investment pool that holds mortgage-backed securitiesâ€"would be paid 85% of the home's new value.

Doesn't that mean big losses for lenders?

Absolutely. They would have to recognize losses on underwater mortgages right away. But lenders stand to lose far more in foreclosures.

http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/08_15/b4079030852449.htm?chan=top+news_top+news+index_investing

Remember lenders and developers could take advantage of "asymmetric information" (Google phrase) without committing fraud.

Long version in extended post   Read More »

 

 

Nationally, foreclosures jumped 30 percent between the second and third quarters of 2007, according to msnbc.com, citing real-estate Web site RealtyTrac. During the three months that ended Sept. 30, foreclosures were reported on 446,000 properties, or one in every 196 U.S. households.

Forty-five states reported higher levels than a year ago. States with the highest foreclosure rates included, in order, Nevada, California, Florida, Michigan, Ohio, Colorado, Arizona, Georgia, Indiana and Texas. (from Lebanon, PA daily news)

South Carolina is also reporting mortgage problems especially among the African American Community.

With the Nevada caucus approaching it seems odd that no other candidate outside of John Edwards has announced a effective plan to help families that are struggling.

See the Edwards plan  http://www.johnedwards.com/issues/predatory-mortgages/

It is especially harsh considering his two main rivals in Nevada are sitting members of Congress and have the power to offer legislation, which even the President has offered to consider.

In addition to Mr. Edwards plan congress should approve a purchase fund to add liquidity to the banking system. It is clear that the Fed is stuck in its help only Wall Street mode and is unable to add anything but a band aid in the form of a tiny rate cut.

Under the Purchase fund concept the federal government could purchase up to $50 billion dollars in Loan bundles from Banks and Mortgage companies for loan up to $500,000. They would pay the Banks & Mortgage owners 75% of the value of the defaulted loan.  Banks must be able to provide ownership details.  Home owners would be given three options.

1. Have three months to sell the home at a newly decrease buyout level and get out of the loan without issue, keeping what ever equity is over the price of the loan.

2. Sign a 4 year "interest only-plus loan" at prime plus 2 or 3 points. In this case they would pay interest on the loan and a two to four hundred dollar contribution towards the principle of the loan up to 25% of their income. The new loan would bundle all past due amts and give them a 90-95% discount on the original loan.  It would give them breathing room and help build equity, while making it clear that they must begin to take responsibities seriously.
After 12 months of regular payments they would have 3 years to exercise the option of selling the home and paying off the mortgage or finding a traditional refinance product.

3. Allow the home to be foreclosed on.


These options allow homeowners a chance to recover from the predatory lending practices while not bailing them out completely.

It helps prevent a total collapse of the mortgage market by allowing banks to write of bad debt without a total loss.  They will still feel the pain of their mistakes, but the system is protected.

Additionally, it does allow housing prices the ability to fall some 30% it the market goes that way. The government should be in the business of protecting peoples homes, not the value of the home. The government should not hold up the bubble and the practices that led to it.

Any reader of The Wall Street Journal will realizes that many private equity firms are already involved in similar market based loan buyouts, but they lack the liquidity to dent the issue.

And this still leaves the banks and mortgage companies on the hook for the even riskier super mortgages over a million dollars.  But the government should focus on first homes and not get involved in the commercial market.

How would the government administer the plan, it should use the market systems and contracts with solid banks (just as mortgage companies do) to administer the loans. HUD already has expertise in handling market based programs such as these.

How would it be paid for. Well ideally the program would result in a 5 year profit for the government as housing rates stabilize, but the government could add a small federal fee (say $25 dollars per new mortgage purchase or transfer) to each new mortgage.  It would not hurt the housing market but would provide funds for the 5 year program without adding to the deficit.

Its a shame that the two sitting members of congress appear to be all talk while so many, especially in Nevada lose their homes.

Three Federal actions are urgently needed to deal with the foreclosure crisis:

1. ELIMINATE IRS TAX PENALTY: Eliminate IRS tax treatment of loan forgiveness as income on primary residence mortgages. REASON: Desperate homeowners who are granted loan modifications should not be hit with IRS liens. Limiting it to primary residences prevents tax-shelter abuse.

2. SUSPEND PREPAYMENT PENALTY: Suspend for one year the pre-payment penalty on ALL mortgages. REASON: Most mortgage loans are securitized (bundled and resold) so any prepayment is likely to be offset by a default in the same mortgage portfolio. Principal-only prepayments can reduce the monthly mortgage obligations, especially in high interest loans whether fixed or resetting ARMS.

3. ALLOW BANKRUPTCY TO MODIFY MORTGAGE TERMS: Allow bankruptcy judges to modify the terms of mortgages. REASON: Why try to squeeze blood from a turnip?

Jim Callahan
Orlando, FL
The American Dream is dying...

More than one out of twenty (greater than 5% of all) home mortgages is delinquent (more than 30 days past due). That means more than one out of twenty heads of families with mortgages goes to sleep at night worried about foreclosure. With sub-prime adjustable rate mortgages the proportion rises to almost one out of five (18.81%).

LATE PAYMENTS, 30 OR MORE DAYS (greater than 5%)
The delinquency rate for all mortgages climbed to 5.59 percent in the third quarter. That was up from 5.12 percent in the second quarter and was the highest since 1986, the [Mortgage Bankers] association said. Payments are considered delinquent if they are 30 or more days past due.

Link

The Mortgage Bankers Association in its quarterly snapshot of the mortgage market released Thursday [TODAY]. * * * The association's survey covers more than 45 million home loans nationwide.


FORECLOSURE (approaching 1%)
the percentage of all mortgages nationwide that started the foreclosure process jumped to a record high of 0.78 percent during the July-to-September period. That surpassed the previous high of 0.65 percent set in the prior quarter.


SUB-PRIME LATE PAYMENTS, 30 OR MORE DAYS LATE (approaching 20%!)
Late payments [of subprime adjustable rate mortgages] jumped to a record high of 18.81 in the third quarter, up from 16.95 percent in the second quarter.


SUB-PRIME FORECLOSURES (approaching 5%)
The percentage of subprime adjustable-rate mortgages that entered the foreclosure process soared to a record of 4.72 percent in the third quarter. That was up from 3.84 percent in the second quarter.


The economic challenge of our time is here and now. The greatest economic challenge of the 20th Century came when President Roosevelt said in his Second Inaugural address,

I see millions of families trying to live on incomes so meager that the pall of family disaster hangs over them day by day. * * * I see one-third of a nation ill-housed, ill-clad, ill-nourished.

Link

We need to stop worrying about the marginal tax rates of the top 1% and start worrying about the marginal existence of the bottom 30%.

Jim Callahan
Orlando, FL
Number of people evacuated because of California wildfires: between 500,000 and 1,000,000.

Estimated losses of Merrill Lynch brokerage firm because of mortgage losses in a single quarter (actual accounting number coming any minute now): $5 to $10 billion. Wall Street was expecting $5 billion, but now headlines are saying it could be $2.5 billion more, for a total of $7.5 billion (in one quarter!).

This is the Wall Street end of a financial tsunami that is and will be hitting Main Street with hundreds of thousands, if not millions of new homeowners struggling with their mortgages.

Meanwhile, as casualties mount, the financial cost of the war continues to add up:
On Monday, President Bush asked for another $42 billion for war efforts on top of the $142 billion already requested for the current fiscal year, bringing the overall total for 2007-08 to nearly $200 billion. This is extra money for the war, above and beyond the Pentagon's regular budget of about $450 billion, which accounts for about a sixth of the government's overall 2007 spending of about $2.8 trillion.

Some experts say the U.S. economy can handle the spending binge without a problem.

"A half trillion dollars sounds like a pretty big number," said Jay Bryson, a global economist at Wachovia Corp. "But in a $14 trillion economy, it just isn't all that big."

Bryson said that as a percentage of the nation's overall economic output, total defense spending is just about 4 percent.

That compares with about 7 percent during the Vietnam War, 15 percent during the Korean War and 25 percent during World War II, he said.

Link

Of course the cost of the war is no problem, for the Republicans it is just Social Security, Medicare and children's health insurance we can't afford.

To distract attention from all of this, and to shore up sagging GOP prospects in Florida, Bush is talking up post-Castro Cuba. The administration is none too happy with Castro's remarks about Bush creating WWIII and famine. Or it could be yet another cover story to explain Guantanamo base expansion:

US EXPANDS PLAN FOR POST-CASTRO REFUGEE BASE AT GUANTANAMO
In May, the Navy hired a Jacksonville, Fla., contractor to build concrete buildings with 525 toilets and 248 showers on an empty corner of the Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, base. The military could quickly put up tents, if needed, around the site. The buildings should be completed by next summer at a cost of $16.5 million.

Now, under the expansion outlined on Wednesday, the military is planning on paper for a second phase that would shelter another 35,000 migrants.

Link

This is a report from a BUSINESS newspaper! Migrants? -- an unusual display of humanitarianism for an administration bent on a third war in central Asia. How many Iranians are there in the US?


WashPo/AP: CASTRO CLAIMS BUSH COULD SPARK WWIII
Link

Fox News/AP Spin:
PRESIDENT BUSH TO PURSUE INTERNATIONAL AID FOR POST-CASTRO CUBA
Link

Jim Callahan
Orlando, FL
"You could end up owing more money than you borrowed" is an actual link on a Federal Reserve Board web page called "Consumer Handbook on Adjustable-Rate Mortgages." Except that I left out the kicker, "even if you make all your payments on time." Ouch!
Link

FLORIDA, ESPECIALLY ORLANDO, IS GROUND ZERO
EXPECT WORSENING HOUSING CONDITIONS AROUND TIME OF
JANUARY 29, 2008 PRIMARY   Read More »
US Federal Reserve has gone to aid of banks and Wall Street, but not home owners. Fourteen million new homeowners, half of which financed with variable rate debt are still at risk as Federal Reserve refused to lower interest rates, but did aid banks and Wall Street by increasing direct to bank lending at the Fed's "discount window."

Key commentaries by CNBC's Jim Crammer (very passionate clip on YouTube -- he went ballistic) & "Joseph Stiglitz, a Nobel prize winning economist follow.

But first, according to the AP,

"The Fed on Friday chose not to cut a key interest rate, called the federal funds rate, to address the problem. That interest rate still stands at 5.25 percent. The funds rate is interest banks charge each other on overnight loans and is the Fed's main lever to influence economic activity."



"Instead, the Fed is seeking to provide reassurance to investors that the central bank will plow extra money into the U.S. financial system to make sure the credit crunch doesn't worsen."

"The Federal Reserve Bank of New York, which carries out the central bank's market operation, moved to add $19 billion in temporary reserves Friday morning. It pumped in another $16 billion in reserves a couple of hours later, then $3 billion more in the afternoon."

* * * [next paragraph out of sequence]

"The Fed's action comes one day after a financial panic about a credit crunch swept through Europe. That prompted the Europeans to pump $130 billion into their financial system. The Fed moved Thursday to add an extra $24 billion in temporary reserves to the U.S. banking system. But that wasn't enough to comfort Wall Street, which suffered its second-worst decline of the year that day."

Link

   Read More »

Preamble:
In Clear and Present Danger James on the John Edwards Web site asked for me to break down the issue and why the problem needs addressed now. In the beginning of Clear and Present Danger I strongly suggested that individual review Mr. M. Hodges Web Site GRANDFATHER REPORT. I recommended this because Mr. Hodges and other have done an outstanding job of breaking down the National Debt Problem.   Read More »
Since May 2005, I have been attempting to inform the American People of the threat to our economy and national security. All eyes and attention is on the War in Iraq, while the critical issue of the economy and debt is ignored or given lip service. The War in Iraq is an issue but it is not the only issue. The security of the nation is threatened more by the threats to our economy than it is by the civil war in Iraq. Yesterday the U.S. Economy Risks and Strategies for 2007-2017 Policy White Paper (V1.3) March 15th, 2007 By Med Yones of the International Institute of Management (IIM) was posted on the John Edwards Web Site News.   Read More »
Headline for Yahoo Today. I must tell you I am really concerned. For 2.5 years I have been trying to organize local Community Organization to organize Shared Debt Relief. Yesterday the International Stock Markets Droped about two point five percent (2.5%). Most analayst assign the drop to shortfalls in the sub-prime commercial accounts. Over the last six months I have been bloging here and the John Edwards Web Sites. Over the past 2.5 years I have written the political leaders from Florida to Washington Includeing the White House. We need to take action now. If you think I am nuts see what I wrote as early as 12 May 2005. Our economy is interdependent what happen in one area will affect others. We are our brothers Keeper.   Read More »
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