June 16,2008
You all know how I feel about polls . . . But this one provides a lot of information that makes it easy to check the validty.
OBAMA KICKS OFF THE GENERAL ELECTION WITH A 50 TO 39 LEAD OVER JOHN MCCAIN IN OHIO.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Ohio_61708.pdf
Note: This is a PDF so give it time to load.
Also since this same survery showed McCain leading 49 to 41 in March and since it is a PUBLIC poll as opposed to a corporate owned one it had more credibility with me.
The Florida and Michigan problem is about power and brinksmanship and mischief. The DNC as the right to run its affairs as it wants to and it has to have a process to handle state parties and governments that want to interfere with its ability to determine who the voters want to be their next president. The whole point of delegate representation of state voters is that representative democracy is the best form of government, so we want to use that form of government for selecting the nominee of the party. When the state apparatus does not cooperate, the party must have a mechanism to get around that apparatus. If there is no mechanism to do this, then the states can safely ignore the DNC and the result will be chaos.
So my solution is to have the DNC ignore the primaries that it considers to have violated the rules it set up for primaries. To select representatives the DNC must pay for a polling organization to poll the voters in Florida and Michigan. Based on the results of the poll, it should assign delegates to the candidates. It is certainly possible to buy a poll in both states that would be accurate to within 1%. The votes of super delegates should be eliminated as an incentive for those state party leaders to follow the rules of the DNC.
So if we have to change the rules in the middle of the game, make a set of rules that we can live with and that actually solve the problem at hand.
How would you feel if for no fault of your own, you were being denied a voice in that process? ie; You registered, showed up and voted on voting day like you always had before. But this time, after the election was over, your vote, your voice, your time and efforts where ignored and you were made to feel like you had no right to vote at all.
How would you feel?
This is a simple question and has nothing to do with any candidate, so please no soapboxing or grandstanding about anyone's pros or cons. Simple question, simple answrs please. How would you feel?
1. Who do you support in the race for President?
a. Hillary Clinton
b. Barack Obama
c. John McCain
d. undecided
2. If Hillary Clinton doesn't win the nomination would you vote for Obama or McCain?
a. Barack Obama
b. John McCain
undecided
3. If Barack Obama doesn't win the nomination would you vote for Clinton or McCain?
a. Hillary Clinton
b. John McCain
c. undecided
4. What is your polItical Party?
A. Democrat
B. Republican
C. Independent
By LIZ SIDOTI, Associated Press Writer
22 minutes ago [28-April-08]
http://tinyurl.com/4rm7kx
WASHINGTON - Hillary Rodham Clinton now leads John McCain by 9 points in a head-to-head presidential matchup, according to an Associated Press-Ipsos poll that bolsters her argument that she is more electable than Democratic rival Barack Obama. Obama and Republican McCain are running about even.
The survey released Monday gives the New York senator and former first lady a fresh talking point as she works to raise much-needed campaign cash and persuade pivotal undecided superdelegates to side with her in the drawn-out Democratic primary fight.
Helped by independents, young people and seniors, Clinton gained ground this month in a hypothetical match with Sen. McCain, the GOP nominee-in-waiting. She now leads McCain, 50 percent to 41 percent, while Obama remains virtually tied with McCain, 46 percent to 44 percent.
Both Democrats were roughly even with McCain in the previous poll about three weeks ago.
Since then, Clinton won the Pennsylvania primary, raising questions anew about whether Obama can attract broad swaths of voters needed to triumph in such big states come the fall when the Democratic nominee will go up against McCain. At the same time, Obama was thrown on the defensive by his comment that residents of small-town America were bitter. The Illinois senator also continued to deal with the controversial remarks of his longtime Chicago pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright.
"I don't think there's any question that over the last three weeks her stature has improved," said Harrison Hickman, a Democratic pollster unaligned in the primary. He attributed Clinton's gains to people moving from the "infatuation stage" of choosing the candidate they like the most to a "decision-making stage" where they determine who would make the best president.
---
complete story at
http://tinyurl.com/4rm7kx
http://www.gallup.com/poll/106825/Gallup-Daily-Clinton-Obama-Tied-47.aspx
http://www.newsweek.com/id/134389
Tougher, More Resolute: New York Times’ Bob Herbert writes: Hillary “is now widely seen as the tougher of the two candidates, the one who is more resolute, who will fight harder.” In contrast, Senator Obama has been thrown completely off his game…You can almost feel the air seeping out of the Obama phenomenon.” Read more.
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/26/opinion/26herbert.html
“Why I Support Hillary Clinton” Oregon Rep. Darlene Hooley writes in an op-ed today: “I support Hillary Clinton -- not because she is a woman, but because she is knowledgeable, experienced and tenacious. She has been through political fire in the relentless attacks thrown at her in the '90s. She has studied the issues, as an advocate for families, as first lady, and as a U.S. senator.” Read more.
http://www.oregonlive.com/commentary/oregonian/index.ssf?/base/editorial/120908850780290.xml&coll=7
Standing Up for Hardworking Families: Bonnie Brown, a WV delegate writes in an op-ed today: West Virginians need a president who will stand up for hardworking families - starting Day One. Hillary Clinton has the strength and experience to lead us to a future where all workers are valued equally and all Americans have a chance to succeed. I encourage support of her presidency. Read more.
http://www.wvgazette.com/Opinion/Op-EdCommentaries/200804260211
[Thursday 3-20-08 10:12 EDT]
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20080320/pl_nm/usa_politics_gallup_dc
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton has moved into a significant lead over Barack Obama among Democratic voters, according to a new Gallup poll.
The March 14-18 national survey of 1,209 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters gave Clinton, a New York senator, a 49 percent to 42 percent edge over Obama, an Illinois senator. The poll has an error margin of 3 percentage points.
The poll was a snapshot of current popular feeling, but Clinton trails Obama in the state-by-state contest which began in January to select a nominee to face presumptive Republican nominee John McCain in the November election to succeed President George W. Bush.
The nominees are formally chosen by delegates at the parties' conventions in the summer.
Gallup said the poll lead was the first statistically significant one for Clinton since a tracking poll conducted February 7-9, just after the Super Tuesday primaries. The two candidates had largely been locked in a statistical tie since then, with Obama last holding a lead over Clinton in a March 11-13 poll.
Gallup said polling data also showed McCain leading Obama 47 percent to 43 percent in 4,367 registered voters' preferences for the general election. The general election survey has an error margin of 2 percentage points.
The Arizona senator also edged Clinton 48 percent to 45 percent but Gallup said the lead was not statistically significant.
Who do you believe will get the Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Clinton 39% 7967
Obama 61% 12202
This is not a scientific poll.
http://www.cnn.com/CNN/Programs/larry.king.live/
From my understanding there is a need for poll watchers needed for the polls on 02-05-08, and if you are interested you need to contact either me to pass it on to the person that got me into it here in Missouri, or you should contact someone locally ASAP. I do not know which states are in need of poll watchers, or exactly which polling places need them, but I will post a list of states below that are voting on 02-05-08.
Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Utah
What should Asher spend his nights doing
34% (15) Blog on DNC/Partybuilder
22% (10) Blog on the Rupublican website (I don't have an account but Asher does)
11% (5) Edit Wikipedia entries.
22% (10) Talk with girls that call his radio blog.
9% (4) All of the above.
It's amazing, just as many people think he should be a republican as talk to girls. Wonder if there is too much room for interpretation in the question.
The Asher Poll-Part Deux
This poll runs until 12/17...after that I will publish the results.
This explains that, in a contest against a Republican candidate, Fmr. Senator Edwards would be most likely to succeed, having a margin of difference of 25 points (60% to 35%), specifically against Fmr. Governor Huckabee but not without implications across the board against any other Republican candidate. Read More »
Asher Poll
I will be recreating this post every day.
Is there a consensus candidate that can get more then 66% of your vote and earn the DFA endorsement? Will Senator Obama beat Senator Edwards again by just a few percentage points? Will Senator Clinton pass up Congressman Kucinich and move into the top three? Will our members still vote to draft Al Gore even this late in the race?
Help us answer all these questions by getting out the vote for your candidate right now! On November 6, exactly one year from Election Day, we will announce your winner and ask all of our members to join the winning campaign¹.
Please vote today: Link
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